Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 10.981098 12.655638 14.445708 16.495587 18.771790 21.215535 24.031150
2025-06-22 8.817355 10.998445 13.473444 16.469261 19.975637 23.927708 28.695933
2025-06-29 7.463587 9.954551 12.925432 16.687215 21.277739 26.650525 33.363715
2025-07-06 6.455596 9.141185 12.487920 16.893643 22.463124 29.188947 37.836455
2025-07-13 5.788809 8.645507 12.345598 17.382711 23.943883 32.077176 42.783602
2025-07-20 5.188304 8.148005 12.122101 17.701358 25.167961 34.641902 47.374802
2025-07-27 4.579751 7.558135 11.700507 17.690653 25.915297 36.581293 51.194784
2025-08-03 3.865150 6.726835 10.857959 17.018890 25.703783 37.218942 53.303924
2025-08-10 3.378334 6.176092 10.355094 16.763085 26.010359 38.512358 56.272456
2025-08-17 2.930052 5.630616 9.804881 16.383884 26.097488 39.479344 58.798385
2025-08-24 2.587336 5.214753 9.409450 16.192021 26.419125 40.752022 61.747882
2025-08-31 2.250506 4.767340 8.921991 15.817206 26.436734 41.576214 64.075831
2025-09-07 2.045403 4.530227 8.755207 15.928676 27.180883 43.459006 67.949502
2025-09-14 1.824851 4.237492 8.469286 15.826138 27.585004 44.851745 71.154155
2025-09-21 1.675962 4.061918 8.365080 16.004051 28.416601 46.881079 75.311293
2025-09-28 1.543407 3.901796 8.272442 16.189347 29.257746 48.938690 79.550412
2025-10-05 1.463925 3.839810 8.347757 16.655796 30.554699 51.705208 84.883917
2025-10-12 1.368995 3.733585 8.332241 16.961026 31.597095 54.107946 89.728479
2025-10-19 1.242774 3.543181 8.143302 16.949512 32.116341 55.718413 93.422067
2025-10-26 1.056740 3.191263 7.614664 16.299956 31.547432 55.623213 94.537935
2025-11-02 0.935044 2.970526 7.321567 16.052639 31.631604 56.534801 97.185071
2025-11-09 0.815354 2.735457 6.977450 15.686290 31.490397 57.075889 99.264175
2025-11-16 0.724900 2.559734 6.739191 15.500961 31.646802 58.085964 102.078743